Shoddy-Fleck
0xe95ce742afc2977965998810f326192d1593c1e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$14.46
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be less than 150k?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
992 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-102.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?
796 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-49.58
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
281 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
276 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
227 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.04Jul 20, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.03Jul 20, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.05Jul 19, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.08Jul 19, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.04Jul 19, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$11.16Jul 19, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.12Jul 19, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.06Jul 19, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.11Jul 19, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$9.66Jul 19, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$10.10Jul 19, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$10.06Jul 19, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$10.19Jul 19, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.04Jul 19, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.01Jul 19, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$8.31Jul 19, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$7.22Jul 19, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$32.66Jul 19, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 08:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.