Sniveling-Toll
0xe960716902a627c1d33b70e077276c56c5b4f37d
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.01
Total PnL
$-4.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$3.75Jan 16, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$3.48Jan 16, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 11, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.15Jan 7, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$3.65Jan 7, 08:29 UTC
- MERGEWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.00Jan 6, 13:16 UTC
- SPLITWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.00Jan 6, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$1.90Jan 4, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?$1.97Jan 4, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?$2.00Jan 4, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 3, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$1.19Jan 2, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$1.20Jan 2, 14:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $2.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 14:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 14:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.