Puzzled-Task
0xe984a3f56a5ecc4a445973cdcef9bae61318b407
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$4.05
Total PnL
$-113.41
Realised
$82.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?
94 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.05
$-7.27
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on April 16?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 15?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?
194 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 15?
169 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 11?
135 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 1?
116 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.92
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 14?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 13-19?
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 April 6-12?
63 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-38.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 1?$0.00Apr 28, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 1?$1.12Apr 27, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 1?$0.12Apr 27, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 1?$1.50Apr 27, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 1?$0.15Apr 27, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 1?$0.03Apr 25, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 21?$1.00Apr 21, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 21?$0.10Apr 21, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 21?$0.15Apr 21, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 20?$50.00Apr 20, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 20?$0.08Apr 20, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 20?$0.06Apr 20, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 20?$1.36Apr 20, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 20?$21.47Apr 20, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?$0.25Apr 20, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 20?$4.46Apr 19, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 20?$3.12Apr 19, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 20?$7.93Apr 19, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 20?$2.85Apr 19, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 20?$1.33Apr 19, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.