Beloved-Politics
0xe986187a62c0d1979df5bb0320680ddf561e4c3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$152.18
Total PnL
$-79.65
Realised
$34.90
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
925 shares @ 11.9¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$152.18
$42.18
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
465 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
161 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.90
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
116 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-45.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
85 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
78 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
69 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.83
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
50 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".