Deafening-Dill-Apse
0xe987890ac2b13ada86f15dfeb0aa8226fd20a279
Wallet digest
Activity score
26/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.50
Realised
$-1.50
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
185 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or below on June 22?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 22?
23 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 22?
17 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 25?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?
15 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?
13 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36.50Jul 20, 05:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $6.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.