Negative-Setback
0xe9ad20476d57068a2ddd5efc0c168b544c3fc021
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$46.02
Total PnL
$-672.78
Realised
$-0.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
15 shares @ 51.7¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.88
$1.17
- YES
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
800 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.60
$-0.40
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
96 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
161 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.76
$-0.24
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.63
$0.13
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 19.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.59
$-2.41
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.95
$-1.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.90
$-0.10
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
8 shares @ 31.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.85
$-0.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5$7.00Jun 14, 03:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$6.52Jun 13, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.53Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.53Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.53Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner$1.41Jun 13, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner$1.52Jun 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner$1.53Jun 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$1.44Jun 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$1.52Jun 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$1.52Jun 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$1.52Jun 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner$1.53Jun 13, 14:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B$1.97Jun 12, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner$6.00Jun 12, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner$2.17Jun 12, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5$2.03Jun 12, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5$1.52Jun 12, 19:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 21:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.