Lanky-Hypochondria
0xe9b0d48102def1736177344b5ad4361b5dea46a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$92.34
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
50 shares @ 85.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$49.83
$7.33
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?
30 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$27.15
$0.15
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 75.9¢·now 76.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$15.37
$0.19
- HEAT
Heat vs. Mavericks
3910 shares @ 63.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Magic
1987 shares @ 57.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
80 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-46.40
- NO
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
50 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-28.50
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
7 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?
2 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?$27.14Jul 28, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$15.36Jul 23, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$20.00Jul 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$4.65Jul 12, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$13.95Jul 12, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$42.50Jul 5, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$50.00Jul 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$50.00Jun 22, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$20.36Jun 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$28.50Jun 16, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$47.78Jun 10, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$1.17Jun 10, 19:07 UTC
- REWARD$0.69May 30, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.99May 29, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$46.40May 19, 00:43 UTC
- MERGEWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$50.00May 18, 03:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $24.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 10:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.