Constant-Pain
0xe9c19fdcaf8046e4ea4eabcec1d8b9e85e3b4625
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-155.01
Realised
$-2.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
330 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?
120 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.86
- YES
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 12?
105 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump EO easing access or decriminalizing weed by Friday?
93 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on November 27?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- 76ERS
Heat vs. 76ers
79 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
75 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
74 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on November 27?
58 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFelix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?$0.75Jan 30, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLFelix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.80Jan 30, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$0.73Jan 30, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$0.10Jan 30, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?$1.00Jan 30, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Jan 30, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLFelix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.91Jan 30, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLFelix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.17Jan 30, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLFelix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?$2.82Jan 30, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMAlanyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5$9.80Jan 20, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlanyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5$5.00Jan 18, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYVitória SC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Score$5.00Jan 18, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score$17.22Jan 18, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score$10.00Jan 18, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$5.00Jan 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 11, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLFC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5$11.44Jan 11, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5$5.00Jan 11, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$10.00Jan 4, 19:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 12:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 16:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".