Well-Worn-Variety
0xe9c409e5ec838fd56fd1ded96dfb9e8739ca7ebf
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$331.95
Total PnL
$-294.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
840 shares @ 22.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.59
$-96.13
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
446 shares @ 37.4¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.48
$-75.52
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
714 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
70 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$49.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
81 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.66
$0.41
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
304 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.58
$-97.42
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.00Jun 14, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$32.79Jun 14, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.29Jun 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$52.43Jun 14, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$21.03Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$2.94Jun 14, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$104.00Jun 10, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$96.43May 25, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?$0.00May 23, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.00May 23, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMHezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?$0.00May 23, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMHezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?$0.00May 23, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$149.16May 23, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$14.41May 22, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$3.50May 22, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$65.42May 21, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$97.06May 21, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$107.24May 21, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$20.00Apr 25, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$269.10Apr 24, 11:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $147.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.