Indolent-Reward
0xe9c74fbf4d076ef83c051a55a000a0876d76d9e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-6.3K
Realised
$-59.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
992 shares @ 54.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$868.41
$323.41
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
839 shares @ 59.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$838.93
$338.93
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
939 shares @ 10.6¢·now 74.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$702.85
$602.85
- YES
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?
737 shares @ 79.7¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$541.67
$-45.62
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
611 shares @ 35.2¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$448.85
$233.74
- YES
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$435.00
$335.00
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
578 shares @ 64.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$424.92
$54.92
- YES
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
376 shares @ 28.5¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$263.40
$155.99
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$63.50
$18.50
- YES
Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?
48 shares @ 54.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$28.76
$2.66
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$208.78Jul 19, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$510.10Jul 19, 19:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 16, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$572.88Jul 15, 19:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$263.96Jul 14, 18:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$514.25Jul 12, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$781.25Jul 12, 01:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$509.00Jul 11, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?$98.81Jul 11, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?$150.33Jul 11, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?$228.75Jul 11, 15:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $241.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.