Official-Evaluation
0xe9e311e44d10656a7904881ea36a0e90789dcb7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$107.39
Total PnL
$-107.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
106 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$105.81
$0.05
- YES
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1050 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.57
$-2.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
29 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
24 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
19 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
17 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
14 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
- YES
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?
14 shares @ 72.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$105.76Jul 4, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $160 in June?$3.66Jul 4, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$102.10Jul 4, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 in June?$3.66Jun 21, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$3.04Jun 20, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$3.04Jun 19, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$102.00Jun 7, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$50.15Jun 7, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$50.01Jun 3, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$11.40Jun 3, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$50.05Jun 3, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$50.15Jun 3, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$11.39May 23, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$50.01May 13, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$50.00May 2, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$31.11May 2, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$80.30May 2, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$31.08Apr 25, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$80.00Apr 9, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?$5.68Apr 9, 11:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $31.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 04:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.