0xe9f3c738fd6e52db58567335f926f80e527fc28d
0xe9f3c738fd6e52db58567335f926f80e527fc28d
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
83
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-8.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 90.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$21.34
$1.34
- NO
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$21.21
$1.22
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
21 shares @ 95.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$20.73
$0.73
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.72
$0.72
- NO
Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 94.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.66
$0.66
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
21 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$20.53
$0.53
- NO
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
21 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.19
$0.19
- NO
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Egypt?
20 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$20.04
$0.04
- NO
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Egypt?
21 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$19.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$20.15Jul 2, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Egypt?$20.11Jul 2, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Egypt?$20.11Jul 2, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Egypt?$20.12Jul 2, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?$20.10Jul 2, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5$20.15Jul 2, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5$20.12Jul 2, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 2?$20.12Jul 2, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$10.07Jul 2, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$10.07Jul 2, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?$10.07Jul 2, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?$10.07Jul 2, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Croatia?$10.06Jul 2, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$10.09Jul 2, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$10.06Jul 2, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$10.11Jul 2, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.07Jul 2, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.06Jul 2, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$10.18Jul 2, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.05Jul 2, 06:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $14.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 06:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.