Frilly-Citizen
0xea204e6c80f3a21ebf6c868bd6e224537b8847f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$37.10
Total PnL
$0.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
14 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$14.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?
13 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?$13.00Jun 27, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$10.00Jun 27, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?$14.00Jun 27, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$11.09Jun 27, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$13.07Jun 27, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$13.08Jun 27, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$13.00May 25, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$11.01May 25, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$13.00May 25, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?$10.07May 25, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$13.64May 25, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$13.33May 25, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$13.55Apr 23, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?$10.00Apr 23, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$13.00Apr 23, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$10.01Apr 23, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$11.48Apr 23, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA reach $280 in March?$15.06Apr 23, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$10.00Mar 11, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$11.38Mar 11, 01:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $17.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 01:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.