Stained-Inch
0xea2624af36789e5c3f5be21207eb652823d67967
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$80.03
Total PnL
$-315.03
Realised
$-2.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
52 shares @ 58.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$28.71
$-1.29
- YES
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$19.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
35 shares @ 26.5¢·now 20.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.18
$-2.03
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.92
$-0.08
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
61 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.47
$-3.02
- YES
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score in First Half
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First Half
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
343 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-104.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score$20.26Jun 24, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First Half$1.02Jun 24, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.90Jun 24, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$30.00Jun 24, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$10.25Jun 24, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCzechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score AND Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5 AND Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 0.5$5.09Jun 24, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCzechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score in First Half$1.02Jun 24, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.10Jun 24, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 24, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$7.94Jun 18, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.25Jun 18, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$7.84Jun 18, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$8.47Jun 18, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMCzechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 18, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$9.52Jun 18, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMCzechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$32.79Jun 18, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$5.06Jun 18, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCzechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5$20.20Jun 18, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$2.05Jun 18, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCzechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$20.23Jun 18, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 10:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.