Grown-Duck
0xea3baf4f61e1753a09211c388477c69796e686f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$144.52
Total PnL
$-41.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
102 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$102.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on May 31?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.61
$0.01
- NO
Will Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$11.57
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 100°F or higher on June 1?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.75
$0.01
- TEXAS RANGERS
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
8 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$8.49
$3.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?
1450 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- MARCOS GIRON
BNP Paribas Open: Marcos Giron vs Jakub Mensik
14 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- TIMBERWOLVES
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves
11 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Raptors
9 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- XIAODI YOU
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Xiaodi You
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$102.00Jun 1, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals$4.56Jun 1, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$107.11Jun 1, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$107.00May 31, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 100°F or higher on June 1?$10.74May 31, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?$117.12May 31, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?$117.01May 30, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on May 31?$11.60May 30, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs$9.09May 29, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?$120.12May 29, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?$120.01May 28, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$11.56May 28, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs$1.03May 28, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMVicenza: Marco Cecchinato vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu$4.76May 28, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$127.38May 28, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$127.02May 26, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYVicenza: Marco Cecchinato vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu$1.02May 26, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$128.23May 26, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$134.00May 25, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs$6.03May 25, 11:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $89.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 09:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".