Sore-Tortellini
0xea3ec7bc9f7b0896887cef65179dc68b7e2db956
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-29.2K
Realised
$-3.9K
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1019 shares @ 55.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.0K
$452.85
- YES
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$650.00
$50.00
- NO
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
362 shares @ 72.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$327.61
$66.97
- NO
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
200 shares @ 65.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$191.00
$61.00
- YES
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$55.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$32.50
$-2.50
- CHARGERS
Chargers vs. Jaguars
10000 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.7K
- CHARGERS
Chargers vs. Giants
8000 shares @ 72.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.8K
- YES
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
6194 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-130.08
- YES
Kash Patel out by July 31?
5000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.