Deficient-Artist
0xea5426e4221994e4089403359d4c42f88de5b997
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$11.69
Total PnL
$-45.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.69
$1.69
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$11.24Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.73Jun 8, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$0.12May 31, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?$1.00May 30, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$1.00May 30, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.02May 30, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$11.32May 21, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$0.00May 19, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$10.03May 19, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.02May 19, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.04May 19, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$6.00May 19, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$6.09May 19, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$5.25May 18, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$1.05May 18, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$13.51May 17, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$1.01May 17, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.22May 17, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.75May 17, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.23May 17, 20:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 07:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.