Nonstop-Linkage
0xea59b34f5d2f29db072e2afe47a8354135103397
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$4.15
Total PnL
$-87.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- FEDERICO BONDIOLI
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Federico Bondioli
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
20 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.95
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win?
13 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- ZANDSCHULP
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulp
9 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.61
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Thunder
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- KOPRIVA
Hellenic Championship: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vit Kopriva
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- INDIA
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- BILLS
Bills vs. Texans
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$2.00Jul 18, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCordenons: Matyas Fule vs Federico Bondioli$2.01Jul 18, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jul 18, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jun 30, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$7.01Jun 30, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$7.00May 28, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Katie Boulter$2.15May 28, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-24?$5.03May 28, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Katie Boulter$2.00Apr 24, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-24?$5.00Apr 24, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMAlicante: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Edas Butvilas$1.03Apr 24, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMOpen Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Jessika Ponchet$3.43Apr 24, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpen Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Jessika Ponchet$3.00Apr 14, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlicante: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Edas Butvilas$1.00Mar 27, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Jazz$1.00Mar 9, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?$37.55Mar 9, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?$37.36Feb 17, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA fe vs Bad Luck (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage$1.10Feb 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA fe vs Bad Luck (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage$1.00Feb 7, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMNorthwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans$1.11Feb 7, 16:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 13:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.