Treasured-Total
0xeab5a0d6d5955b6a94093bbad6e925f3bfb5f570
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.8K
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-2.2K
Win rate
43%
169 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
1419 shares @ 64.9¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$901.32
$-20.35
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
221 shares @ 91.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$205.76
$3.87
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
191 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$175.00
$-0.05
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
225 shares @ 76.7¢·now 76.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$171.67
$-1.22
- NO
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
468 shares @ 48.4¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$161.26
$-65.12
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
276 shares @ 60.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$155.89
$-9.67
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
164 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$154.92
$0.75
- NO
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
170 shares @ 89.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$153.09
$1.54
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
301 shares @ 63.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$149.04
$-40.73
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
300 shares @ 58.7¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$148.70
$-27.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.12Jul 28, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3.37Jul 28, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.62Jul 28, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.85Jul 28, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.53Jul 28, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.12Jul 28, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$12.80Jul 28, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.00Jul 28, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$7.65Jul 28, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$18.20Jul 28, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.95Jul 28, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.40Jul 28, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.61Jul 28, 19:37 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$138.81Jul 28, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$13.98Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$6.50Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$2.60Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$7.80Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$6.50Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$1.30Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 169 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
169 closed markets, 43% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 18:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 169 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.