Careful-Trance
0xeac66f22c1721084ea6b22190fbd6c95ac20f9f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-139.73
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
3101 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
1072 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-549.00
- NO
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?
1055 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
771 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.31
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?
448 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-161.25
- YES
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
380 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-209.00
- YES
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?
263 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?
261 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-137.50
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?
221 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-126.00
- OILERS
Sabres vs. Oilers
217 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-143.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$202.50Mar 5, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$339.66Mar 4, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$344.31Mar 4, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$553.21Mar 4, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$308.84Mar 4, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$426.53Mar 4, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$426.52Mar 4, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$408.94Mar 4, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$408.95Mar 4, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$479.92Mar 4, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$479.92Mar 4, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$491.92Mar 4, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$382.94Mar 4, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$108.98Mar 4, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$250.85Mar 3, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?$126.00Mar 3, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$376.85Mar 3, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$2.72Mar 1, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation by March 31?$786.68Mar 1, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$193.11Mar 1, 16:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $224.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 17:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".