Frank-Questioner-Syrup
0xeaea46a35999a3661ef657031ba5d8e03c1b9995
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$126.14
Total PnL
$-53.95
Realised
$-1.42
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.81
$9.81
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.85
$4.85
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$12.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
15 shares @ 67.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.19
$1.19
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.04
$1.28
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$10.63
$0.63
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
49 shares @ 20.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.89
$-2.11
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.35
$-2.65
- NO
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.11
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $30 on August 19?$0.05Aug 16, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 17?$3.00Aug 16, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 18?$3.48Aug 16, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 20?$2.59Aug 16, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 19?$2.94Aug 16, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?$1.04Aug 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?$1.02Aug 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Moskovka by August 31?$4.99Aug 12, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31?$4.99Aug 12, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?$4.99Aug 12, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?$12.02Aug 11, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$23.64Aug 11, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$10.00Aug 10, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$0.94Aug 8, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.04Aug 8, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$0.34Aug 8, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?$0.30Aug 8, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?$10.80Aug 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?$10.72Aug 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$0.45Jul 30, 06:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 23:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 14:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.