Handmade-Interject
0xeaf61b515166b0467ac2980ea63856b382adcd64
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-791.43
Realised
$-24.49
Win rate
0%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 8?
3526 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2143 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?
1468 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 8?
1208 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
588 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
435 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 9?
351 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-49.19
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
348 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?$47.35Aug 20, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$102.69Jul 13, 14:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$102.56Jul 9, 22:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 9?$52.15Jul 8, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 9?$31.79Jul 8, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$25.00Jul 8, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 8?$8.56Jul 8, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$150.00Jul 8, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$26.21Jul 8, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$289.49Jul 8, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.00Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$26.63Jul 8, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$5.29Jul 8, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$36.00Jul 7, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$80.53Jul 7, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $54.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 12:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 00:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.