0xeafd4e2b6fe19b936cff7ccb981c173c6e68723f
0xeafd4e2b6fe19b936cff7ccb981c173c6e68723f
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
194
Open notional
$394.48
Total PnL
$-842.27
Realised
$21.99
Win rate
45%
65 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 194- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$23.12
$3.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 16?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$23.03
$3.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$22.86
$2.74
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 16?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$22.77
$2.96
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 16?
22 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$21.66
$1.78
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?
21 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$21.37
$1.37
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 17?
21 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$21.15
$1.14
- NO
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-15?
17 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$17.42
$11.50
- OVER
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$15.62
$10.62
- OVER
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$13.51
$8.51
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpread: Austin FC (-1.5)$1.72May 17, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)$0.73May 16, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLGeneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas$2.76May 16, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$3.01May 16, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels$4.38May 16, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$2.96May 16, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)$1.94May 16, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas$2.99May 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Austin FC (-1.5)$2.09May 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels$3.23May 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$2.34May 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$1.97May 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLParma: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro$2.76May 16, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMParis: Alina Charaeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich$5.00May 16, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMBordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchaga$5.00May 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers$8.05May 16, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMZagreb: Zsombor Piros vs Lukas Neumayer$24.99May 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$2.34May 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBaltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals$1.32May 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$2.29May 15, 21:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 65 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
65 closed markets, 45% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 09:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 65 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.