Waterlogged-Sight
0xeb12e7f8131774a76bcb9999c278cd586c3b09fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.96
Total PnL
$-25.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.96
$-0.01
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1900 in July?
15500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-15.50
- YES
Will JIP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 300 and 319 times September 5–12?
2090 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between August 25 and August 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
240 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.39May 20, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.41May 19, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.36May 18, 10:53 UTC
- REWARD$0.37May 18, 10:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.39May 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.97May 8, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 300 and 319 times September 5–12?$2.09Sep 12, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1900 in July?$15.50Jul 31, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during his 4th of July remarks?$1.25Jul 31, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$8.91Jul 31, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next reconciliation bill be passed between August 25 and August 31?$1.00Jul 3, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMTwins vs. Tigers$0.00Jul 2, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall before July?$0.00Jul 2, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2500 on June 27?$0.00Jul 2, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?$0.00Jul 2, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMAthletics vs. Yankees$1.43Jul 2, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?$1.00Jun 27, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during his 4th of July remarks?$1.00Jun 27, 18:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $3.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".