Smug-Science
0xeb1ee85fd514688221a4dfd81e76aebc997529af
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$86.99
Total PnL
$-73.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.35
$-45.65
- NO
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$22.73
$2.73
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
76 shares @ 39.3¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.92
$-20.08
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: March$10.00Mar 15, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$21.05Mar 15, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?$21.74Mar 15, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$157.89Mar 15, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$100.00Feb 1, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?$20.00Feb 1, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$20.00Feb 1, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$42.50Feb 1, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$50.00Feb 1, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$100.00Feb 1, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$110.00Feb 1, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$14.89Feb 1, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$24.39Feb 1, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$27.40Feb 1, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?$31.68Feb 1, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?$35.29Feb 1, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$42.25Jan 18, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$14.34Jan 11, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard out by March 31?$20.00Jan 11, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 10, 10:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $46.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 18:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.