Self-Assured-Music
0xeb38620078ce1a98d7a7a009905c0d41b06a0a1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$76.94
Total PnL
$-6.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
31 shares @ 59.5¢·now 61.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.13
$0.63
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
19 shares @ 26.2¢·now 51.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.74
$4.74
- YES
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
8 shares @ 78.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$5.94
$-0.06
- NO
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
7 shares @ 66.9¢·now 62.5¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$4.67
$-0.33
- NO
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
6 shares @ 65.1¢·now 70.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.31
$0.31
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
15 shares @ 27.6¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.97
$-1.03
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
4 shares @ 77.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.90
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?$2.04May 17, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?$1.02May 17, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$5.00May 17, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$4.59May 15, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 14, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$2.03May 12, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$5.04May 11, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$2.07May 8, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$1.04May 8, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?$4.06May 6, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00May 3, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$3.00May 3, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$28.99May 2, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?$0.01May 2, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$2.03May 2, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$5.98May 2, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.01May 2, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$20.10May 2, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?$3.03May 1, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$3.03May 1, 04:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 14:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 05:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".