Dirty-Investment
0xeb49b574d5d1c637fe774eba26526c0d115f4169
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.22
Total PnL
$-114.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$-3.78
- NO
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
5014 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
526 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
131 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
72 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
43 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$14.63May 23, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$39.59May 23, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$10.22May 23, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?$12.44Feb 28, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$13.65Feb 28, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$15.00Jan 22, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 11, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.00Jan 9, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Jan 9, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 7, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?$10.00Jan 7, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $10.00Jan 6, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$10.00Jan 6, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$12.50Nov 5, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Oct 23, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$0.68Oct 22, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$5.00Oct 17, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$5.00Oct 14, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$5.00Oct 13, 10:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 16, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 23:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.