0xeb4c9ab5324dd06f273bc63507048df1ac8c02e5
0xeb4c9ab5324dd06f273bc63507048df1ac8c02e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$24.79
Total PnL
$-23.73
Realised
$-21.86
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
21 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$20.60
$15.86
- YES
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
4 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$4.19
$2.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 6?
56 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 7?
28 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- YES
Will Cagliari be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?
24 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 11?
22 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on March 11?
10 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 6?
9 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will Chelsea finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.00Apr 22, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$0.00Apr 22, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$0.00Apr 22, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$0.00Apr 21, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$0.00Apr 21, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.00Apr 21, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.00Apr 21, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$0.00Apr 21, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.00Apr 20, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$0.00Apr 20, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00Apr 20, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 7?$0.00Apr 20, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mainz finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$0.00Apr 20, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 6?$0.00Apr 20, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$0.00Apr 20, 14:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 03:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 01:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.