Mixed-Musculature
0xeb5ac92eeb6cfbcbb912e8791b4b7599c951ebc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.28
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$2.28
$-2.72
- JAZZ
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
9783 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.5K
- YES
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
120 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.08
- RED WINGS
Red Wings vs. Lightning
70 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.20
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.98
- OVER
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
10 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
10 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$2.06Jul 11, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 4.5$3.12Jul 11, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 2.5$5.11Jul 11, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$18.29Jun 17, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$15.08Jun 16, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$10.25Jun 16, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$1.12May 21, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.02May 21, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.04May 21, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$2.27May 21, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.04May 21, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$2.88May 21, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$4.20May 21, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$5.08May 21, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Wings vs. Lightning$25.20Apr 13, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$2.05Apr 13, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$3.03Apr 13, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$3.14Apr 13, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$5.00Mar 26, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 9, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $204.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 18:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 10:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.