SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 16, 2026

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Probability

64¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$13.5K

Liquidity

$112.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.5pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 13:00Apr 27, 2026, 09:01
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 64¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $13.5k traded against $112.5k of visible liquidity (0.12× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 3

    Divergence signal firing

    Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -1.0pp.

  • 4

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1191h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1191.0h

    LOW
  • 09:01Signal

    Short-term vs. trend divergence

    Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -1.0pp.

    MEDIUM
  • 09:01Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 1191h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 64¢.

Biggest hourly move: -5.0pp at 2d ago (to 63¢).

Show top 8 of 24 hourly moves
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 62¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 63¢
  • 2d ago · -4.5pp → 63¢
  • 2d ago · -5.0pp → 63¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 64¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 64¢
  • 3d ago · +4.0pp → 66¢
  • 3d ago · +4.0pp → 66¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventNBA Western Conference Champion
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025–26 NBA Western Conference Finals based on the rules of the NBA. If the 2025-26 NBA Western Conference Finals winner is not announced by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jun 16, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source

Not stated explicitly in the metadata. Read the full market rules below before treating any move as a resolved fact.

Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket