Practical-Danger
0xeb6bdeb17548487bf2dac088a19cc2aeb7fb80bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-22.15
Win rate
2%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5
1400 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
1233 shares @ 67.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-830.00
- YES
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
518 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
493 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- RICO
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
412 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?
397 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
345 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?
233 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-18.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$10.49Jul 18, 17:21 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYOusmane Dembélé: 1+ goals$1.02Jun 30, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$30.53Jun 29, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$807.44Jun 29, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrysencio Summerville: 1+ goals$10.26Jun 29, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$526.65Jun 29, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$102.13Jun 29, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYVinícius Júnior: 1+ goals$50.87Jun 29, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$101.35Jun 29, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?$359.98Jun 28, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?$111.88Jun 28, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYJonathan David: 1+ goals$51.04Jun 28, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?$50.78Jun 28, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-06-27?$431.37Jun 27, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-27?$18.92Jun 27, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLHarry Kane: 1+ goals$18.89Jun 27, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 1+ goals$7.13Jun 27, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-27?$287.91Jun 27, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$293.97Jun 27, 22:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
42 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $95.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 23:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 17:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.