Active-Fame
0xeb79e7b50b07f8f1b281c2f91e3d97b5462ff522
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
159
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 159- NO
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?
37 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$37.16
$3.55
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
37 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$37.00
$3.62
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 20?
37 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.73
$3.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 16?
37 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$36.70
$4.39
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
37 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$36.55
$2.94
- NO
Will Caernarfon Town FC win on 2026-07-16?
37 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$36.51
$2.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 16?
36 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$36.29
$3.98
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
38 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$36.21
$1.45
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 17?
36 shares @ 91.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$36.12
$2.83
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 17?
38 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$36.05
$2.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: FC Inter Turku (-2.5)$35.27Jul 16, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FK Sarajevo (-1.5)$34.13Jul 16, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 16?$34.37Jul 16, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 16?$36.29Jul 16, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 16?$35.38Jul 16, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 16?$35.76Jul 16, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 16?$35.04Jul 16, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 16?$36.07Jul 16, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 17?$31.91Jul 16, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 17?$31.87Jul 16, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 17?$31.89Jul 16, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 22?$31.96Jul 16, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$31.87Jul 16, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katherine Haley be the Arizona State Treasurer Republican nominee?$31.83Jul 16, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 17?$31.87Jul 16, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 17?$31.85Jul 16, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19?$31.95Jul 16, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Swoboda be the Arizona Secretary of State Republican nominee?$31.82Jul 16, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 17?$31.92Jul 16, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 17?$31.84Jul 16, 07:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $31.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 22:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.