Sinful-Butter
0xeb8a44b61a29c35e348628fdeca8695c4571890b
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
191
Open notional
$23.61
Total PnL
$-209.37
Realised
$1.04
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 191- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
7 shares @ 44.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.37
$4.09
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$3.05
$1.83
- NO
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
2 shares @ 74.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$2.07
$0.53
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
2 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$2.00
$0.42
- NO
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
2 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.00
$0.54
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$2.00
$0.84
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.39
$0.10
- NO
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
1 shares @ 82.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$1.27
$0.22
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
2 shares @ 77.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.27
$0.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$1.20
$0.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMFC Barcelona leading at halftime?$2.25Mar 18, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference?$0.24Mar 18, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.08Mar 18, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?$0.58Mar 18, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump approval Up or Down this week?$0.34Mar 18, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.06Mar 18, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.41Mar 18, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1.34Mar 18, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Barcelona leading at halftime?$1.08Mar 18, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.29Mar 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$1.85Mar 18, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on March 17?$4.25Mar 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$0.54Mar 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$1.11Mar 18, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$0.68Mar 18, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 17?$0.33Mar 17, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 17?$1.08Mar 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4PM ET$1.12Mar 17, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$0.23Mar 17, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$2.14Mar 17, 19:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.