Starry-Mammoth
0xebc0b4a9cf76c075b4cb7c8597b6ccbbc3096af4
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$5.75
Total PnL
$-42.48
Realised
$-0.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.38
$-0.63
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 12.7¢·now 25.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.05
$1.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.65
$-0.35
- NO
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 16, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown last 7 days or more?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$45.43May 30, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.16May 30, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.13May 30, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$3.97May 30, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$5.09May 30, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$5.09May 30, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.13May 30, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?$1.53May 5, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$1.02May 5, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?$1.02May 5, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$1.02May 5, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$1.02May 5, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$1.02May 5, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?$1.02May 5, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?$1.02May 5, 18:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$0.00Apr 27, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?$5.00Apr 27, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$11.16Apr 20, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$2.75Apr 15, 21:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 18:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".