Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
Probability
56¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-0.9pp
24h Vol
$7.3K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-13.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 852.6h
- 11:21SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 853h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.4pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.4pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.4pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.6pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.3pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.2pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.3pp
to 56¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 2¢-1.4pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
Other · Vol $729.7K
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $704.2K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $539.7K
- 88¢+2.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $519.4K
- 100¢+32.5pp
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $439.4K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arsenal is officially crowned the winner of at least one of the following competitions: the 2025–26 English Premier League, UEFA Champions League, Carabao Cup or FA Cup. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for Arsenal to win any of the four listed competitions (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from winning, or eliminated from, all four competitions), the market will immediately resolve to "No". If one or more of the listed competitions is canceled or is otherwise not completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the results of the listed competitions that have been completed at that time. If Arsenal has not won any listed competition by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the organizers of the listed competitions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Tinted-Consciousness66.9K
- Dull-Hydrant17.2K
- Gifted-Ellipse5.3K
- Determined-Temp5.0K
- Monthly-Task3.3K
- Fabulous-Online50.0K
- Subdued-Laboratory22.5K
- Acceptable-Pike5.0K
- Monstrous-Dew4.4K
- Unhealthy-Mortality4.1K