Apprehensive-Designer
0xebd5a2224777e656cd5fdc62e431e6c040a633c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$4.09
Total PnL
$-57.53
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.18
$0.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.91
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on January 4?
5379 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.38
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on March 14?
1118 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on February 22?
1114 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on March 28?
1109 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 9?
1097 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 4?
1094 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on February 3?
1094 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 15?
1092 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 9?$2.17Jun 9, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.31Jun 2, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.11Jun 2, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.17Jun 2, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 31?$3.20May 31, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 23?$2.09May 23, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.10May 21, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 14?$2.12May 14, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.24May 6, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.91May 6, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.31May 6, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?$2.15May 5, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 26?$2.15Apr 26, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 15?$2.18Apr 15, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.90Apr 14, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$2.22Apr 12, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 10?$1.1KApr 11, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 10?$1.1KApr 10, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 9?$1.1KApr 10, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 9?$1.1KApr 9, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $355.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 08:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 03:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.