Threadbare-Cough
0xebe00447f564d912442658138469a4bcd312cec7
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
88
Open notional
$95.24
Total PnL
$-143.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.66
$0.66
- YES
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
20 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$20.23
$0.23
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
29 shares @ 68.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$18.42
$-1.58
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.14
$6.14
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Artemis II launch by February 7?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
423 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.05Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$20.01Jun 9, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 9, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$20.03Jun 9, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.00Jun 8, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.26May 25, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$20.21May 20, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$20.00Apr 27, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$49.68Apr 27, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$50.00Apr 26, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$1.00Apr 26, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20.09Apr 25, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out by June 30?$0.49Apr 25, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$1.25Apr 25, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$50.00Apr 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$20.00Apr 25, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$50.00Apr 25, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20.00Apr 25, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$9.12Mar 30, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$59.75Mar 29, 01:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $24.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 11:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.