Scared-Talk
0xebe0de94033b944e003ef7e98ffd6f7358c98791
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$15.84
Total PnL
$-43.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
33 shares @ 33.1¢·now 37.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.37
$1.45
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.38
$-17.62
- NO
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 5?
421 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 20-26?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?
13 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 20?
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 27?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$10.92Jan 1, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$10.41Jan 1, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMJaguars vs. Raiders$0.00Nov 5, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMChiefs vs. Bills$0.00Nov 5, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 5?$5.00Nov 5, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$4.00Nov 5, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMJaguars vs. Raiders$4.17Nov 5, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMChiefs vs. Bills$4.44Nov 5, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$8.00Nov 2, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$20.00Nov 2, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bills win the AFC Championship?$2.00Nov 2, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYJaguars vs. Raiders$2.00Nov 2, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Commanders$1.00Nov 2, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYChiefs vs. Bills$2.00Nov 2, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 27?$2.44Nov 2, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$5.36Nov 2, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 27?$1.00Oct 26, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 27?$1.00Oct 26, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 20-26?$1.00Oct 26, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMFalcons vs. 49ers$2.00Oct 26, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 23:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".