Tiny-Grain
0xebed537102265979e8e4dc9ce14120d788859c1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$26.13
Total PnL
$-1.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
8 shares @ 74.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.61
$0.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
4 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.48
$1.48
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
4 shares @ 92.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$4.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
4 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$3.65
$0.55
- NO
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by November 30?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$3.19
$0.19
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$2.22
$0.62
- NO
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?
2 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.66
$0.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in May 2026?
33 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
15 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16?$2.06May 15, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in May 2026?$2.09May 15, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$6.00May 15, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$3.07May 15, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$33.33Nov 4, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$2.1KNov 4, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$40.00Nov 4, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.20Nov 4, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.60Nov 4, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?$1.60Nov 4, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$3.10Nov 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by November 30?$3.00Nov 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.00Nov 4, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.0KNov 4, 16:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $86.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 06:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".