Questionable-Rhyme
0xebf709c6002876bd109fc9cec3d984c2a8c6bccd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.12
Total PnL
$-45.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 3.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
205 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
25 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
21 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
French election called by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 950 and 999 times September 1–30?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$3.00Jan 20, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.00Jan 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 16?$1.00Jan 10, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$3.00Jan 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Jan 10, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?$9.52Jan 4, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out in 2025?$1.00Oct 7, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?$2.00Oct 7, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext French Prime Minister appointed by October 31?$3.00Oct 6, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?$1.00Oct 6, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?$1.00Oct 6, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner$9.21Oct 6, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner$7.00Oct 5, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Gentle Mates (BO3)$7.07Oct 4, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Gentle Mates (BO3)$1.00Oct 3, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?$0.47Sep 30, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?$4.00Sep 30, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?$2.00Sep 30, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?$2.00Sep 30, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?$2.29Sep 30, 18:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 17:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.