Grotesque-Emergent
0xec0aabfaff0503e7f5d3c47c24c1fcbc1b5c37fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$22.22
Total PnL
$-9.45
Realised
$0.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
270 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.54
$-1.46
- YES
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 15.4¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$2.81
$1.81
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 10.9¢·now 11.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-14 House seat?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TX-22 House seat?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?
1 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TX-14 House seat?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
1 shares @ 79.9¢·now 78.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?$1.03Jun 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?$1.00Jun 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?$1.01Jun 11, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.04Jun 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$1.01Jun 11, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?$1.04Jun 11, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 11, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 11, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-22 House seat?$1.00Jun 11, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the GA-01 House seat?$1.03Jun 11, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the ND-AL House seat?$1.04Jun 11, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?$1.00Jun 11, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the TX-14 House seat?$1.04Jun 11, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-14 House seat?$1.01Jun 11, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?$1.02Jun 11, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?$1.02Jun 11, 14:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?$5.30Mar 22, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?$4.00Mar 22, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?$1.00Mar 22, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 18:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 15:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.