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PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?

Probability

84¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+2.5pp

24h Vol

$101.76

Liquidity

$23.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

-7.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 13:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:19
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 04:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -24.5pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.5pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Associated PressNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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