0xec38c93bb2b25eaf040384955d4b6415a698d50d
0xec38c93bb2b25eaf040384955d4b6415a698d50d
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$79.42
Total PnL
$-13.17
Realised
$0.50
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by March 25, 2026?
37 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$36.96
$0.08
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by March 22, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Netanyahu out by March 31?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$0.10
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by March 23, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.92
$0.03
- YES
Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.42
$0.92
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
19 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.08
$-1.42
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
4 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.02
$-1.48
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
91 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.87
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
79 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 28, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venstre win <15 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$7.43Apr 28, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on March 16, 2026?$8.26Apr 28, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends by March 23, 2026?$0.00Apr 28, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.00Apr 28, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on March 23, 2026?$10.02Apr 28, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$10.05Apr 28, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?$10.10Apr 28, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends by March 22, 2026?$0.00Apr 28, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$20.04Apr 28, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?$20.09Apr 28, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends by March 25, 2026?$0.00Apr 28, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$40.34Apr 28, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$17.67Apr 28, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$0.00Apr 28, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$0.00Apr 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$1.04Apr 16, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.51Apr 16, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.60Apr 16, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.68Apr 16, 00:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 11:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.