Flickering-Wholesale
0xec45a1d9219b5f062e52f5541ddfbb5deaba5e44
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$4.81
Total PnL
$-250.29
Realised
$8.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.81
$-5.19
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
1073 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
955 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-19.66
- NO
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
510 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will UAE strike Yemen by January 31?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
185 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.59
- YES
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
125 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-21.83
- YES
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?
100 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
100 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill UK strike Iran by March 31?$21.83Mar 4, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$100.00Mar 1, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$15.00Mar 1, 21:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 5, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 4, 00:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 3, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 2, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 1, 00:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 31, 00:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 30, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 29, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 28, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 27, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 26, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valve remove Train from the Map Pool?$0.00Jan 25, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Nigeria next?$0.00Jan 25, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$0.00Jan 25, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$0.00Jan 25, 18:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 25, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 21, 00:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $12.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 15:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.