Verifiable-Capital
0xec4d43d71e4a356f611606b320536dac33b03b11
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$553.46
Total PnL
$-399.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
319 shares @ 25.1¢·now 24.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$76.80
$-3.20
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
179 shares @ 50.3¢·now 42.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$76.01
$-13.99
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.67
$8.67
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
96 shares @ 52.0¢·now 36.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.76
$-15.24
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
183 shares @ 10.9¢·now 17.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$32.94
$12.94
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
136 shares @ 29.4¢·now 23.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$31.95
$-8.05
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
160 shares @ 21.8¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.89
$-5.11
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
68 shares @ 45.8¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$26.72
$-4.28
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
129 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.16
$1.16
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$16.25
$6.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sovereign" or "Sovereignty" during Chinese State Banquet?$15.22May 13, 03:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$20.61May 12, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$10.31May 12, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00May 12, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$46.51May 12, 03:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.20May 10, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$10.00May 10, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$31.25May 10, 03:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 8, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$13.89May 7, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$30.90May 7, 12:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 5, 00:13 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $10.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 05:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".