International-Tunnel
0xec9539d2cf642ac9fae6b977ff98bc9d7fe0aeef
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-168.21
Realised
$-61.31
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 88.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.82
$-0.18
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.18
$-2.82
- NETS
Spread: Raptors (-23.5)
128 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-66.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 23?
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 23?
12 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- EDAS BUTVILAS
Brownsburg: Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavsky
11 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- ANDREJ NEDIC
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner
11 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FC Andijon vs. FK Neftchi Fargona end in a draw?$12.14Aug 13, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Andijon vs. FK Neftchi Fargona end in a draw?$9.46Aug 13, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrownsburg: Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavsky$7.12Aug 13, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner$7.12Aug 13, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$11.32Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$9.80Jul 15, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$12.63Jul 15, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$3.11Jul 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$5.12Jul 15, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$3.11Jul 15, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$21.01Jun 17, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$20.05Jun 17, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?$10.00Jun 17, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$5.00May 21, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 23?$1.05May 21, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 23?$1.01May 21, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?$0.56May 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?$1.14May 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?$0.84May 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?$0.76May 21, 18:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $148.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 18:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.