Rotten-Stand
0xecad623b574b112ccfa67d47610908a8ce8057e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$33.37
Total PnL
$-160.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
20 shares @ 16.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$20.00
$16.70
- KNICKS
Spurs vs. Knicks
10 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$10.00
$4.50
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.50
$-8.50
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-1.36
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
30170 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.98
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
14000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 29, 2026?
1020 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
620 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.86
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
616 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?$0.35Jun 11, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?$1.05Jun 11, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?$1.95Jun 10, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-7.5)$3.37Jun 10, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$5.57Jun 9, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$3.69Jun 9, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$10.80Jun 9, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.00May 21, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$5.90May 21, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$20.00Mar 18, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 17, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.02Mar 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$3.94Mar 4, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.41Mar 4, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.45Mar 4, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?$10.00Mar 4, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.00Feb 13, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$14.94Feb 9, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$0.72Feb 9, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$1.20Feb 9, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 21:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 01:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.