Different-Evolution
0xece87a8c571e92f6ec72646880dc4b4a8da8130f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$448.38
Total PnL
$-244.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$109.38
$9.38
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
575 shares @ 17.4¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$92.24
$-7.76
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1149 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$90.23
$-9.77
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$81.25
$-18.75
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2049 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$42.01
$3.08
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$11.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$10.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.73
$-0.27
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
90 shares @ 8.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.55
$-4.45
- YES
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$10.34Jun 13, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$10.69Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$50.41Jun 12, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$25.91Jun 12, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.00Jun 12, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.00Jun 12, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?$0.00Jun 12, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?$0.00Jun 12, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$47.17Jun 12, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$25.82Jun 12, 21:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$10.10Jun 11, 18:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $30.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 20:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.