Cylindrical-Choice
0xecfb0d3ee6c9c3762887f85e37d55d162e426e4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$18.00
Total PnL
$0.46
Realised
$0.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$5.66Jun 21, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$3.78Jun 21, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$1.89Jun 21, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$28.11Jun 19, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$27.57Jun 19, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$2.80Jun 19, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$2.80Jun 19, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$3.08Jun 19, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$8.68Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.26Jun 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$0.38Jun 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$0.91Jun 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$27.30Jun 18, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$27.30Jun 17, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.49Jun 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.35Jun 17, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.14Jun 17, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$30.03Jun 15, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$30.03Jun 15, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$1.62Jun 14, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 21:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 18:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.