Circular-Teapot
0xed015d1ada5476c5cd18d4a0164ca763833f0cea
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$470.73
Total PnL
$-139.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
621 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$102.17
$2.17
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$97.94
$-2.06
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1136 shares @ 8.8¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$89.20
$-10.79
- YES
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$84.78
$-15.22
- YES
Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
374 shares @ 30.8¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$52.35
$-62.65
- YES
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
61 shares @ 24.6¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$15.56
$0.56
- ALVAREZ
World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.44
$-0.56
- YES
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?
58 shares @ 25.7¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
93 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$50.69Jun 12, 17:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$71.35Jun 11, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.32Jun 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$50.45Jun 11, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.45Jun 11, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.52Jun 11, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.49Jun 11, 14:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez$15.27Jun 9, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?$5.11Jun 9, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?$10.22Jun 9, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.07Jun 9, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.74Jun 9, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.31Jun 8, 20:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $57.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 20:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.